PS: Political Science & Politics Symposium Mars 2022
Editeurs invités: Richard Nadeau (Université de Montréal), Bruno Jérôme (Université de Paris II Panthéon-Assas) et Michael Lewis-Beck (Université de l'Iowa)
Le symposium "Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election" publié par la revue PS: Political Science & politics regroupe neuf contributions dont six d'entre-elles développant un modèle de prévision électorale de la présidentielle française.
Pour accéder aux articles, aux méthodologies et aux résultats suivre ce lien https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/accepted-manuscripts
Les contributions
Introduction: Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election
Richard Nadeau, Bruno Jérôme, Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election: From a Left–Right Logic to the Quadripolarization of Politics
Bruno Jérôme, Philippe Mongrain, Richard Nadeau
Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election with a SUR Regionalized Model
Véronique Jérôme-Speziari, Éric Bélanger
Citizen Forecasting: The 2022 French Presidential Elections
Yannick Dufresne, Bruno Jérôme, Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Andreas E. Murr, Justin Savoie
Predicting French Presidential Elections: A Challenge for Forecasters
Mary Stegmaier, Kouakou Donatien Adou
Combining forecasts for the 2022 French presidential election: The PollyVote
Andreas Graefe
Party’s rating and electoral forecasting: the case of French Presidential in 2022
François Facchini
Which Historical Forecast Model Performs Best? An Analysis of 1965-2017 French Presidential Elections
Éric Bélanger, Fernando Feitosa, Mathieu Turgeon
Designing Prediction Markets to Forecast Multi-Stage Elections: The 2022 French Presidential Election
Joyce E. Berg, Thomas S. Gruca, Thomas A. Rietz
A Legislative Majority for the Future President? Revisiting the Phenomenon of Honeymoon Elections Under the Fifth Republic
Bernard Dolez, Annie Laurent